Mr Savelsberg, an associate professor at the Netherlands Defence Academy, who specialises in missile defence, subsequently undertook a detailed analysis of the Qaseb, based on open sources and using computer simulations to calculate trajectories.
He found similarities to the Shahab-3 ballistic missile, which has a range of just over 700 miles, as well as the Safir SLV, as well as a number of unusual facilities.
The launch of one of Iran’s Shahab-3 missiles
One of Iran’s Zelzal missiles in front of a giant portrait of Ayatollah Khamanei
He added: “With the heavier payload, much of Central and Eastern Europe is in range.
“With the smaller payload, the range is extended to include locations further to the west, including much of Germany and Italy, as well as parts of Northern Europe.
The Shahab-3 has a range of 700 miles
Mr Savelsberg’s analysis comes against a background of increasing tension between Tehran and the west, especially the United States, with Donald Trump having ordered the assassination of military commander Qassem Soleimani at the start of the year.
Iran responded by launching rocket attacks on Iraqi military bases where US soldiers were based – a move which Mr Savelsberg said had demonstrated Tehran had “made great leaps in improving the accuracy of its ballistic missiles”.
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Hassan Rouhani, Iran’s President
US President Donald Trump
The United States has circulated a draft resolution to the 15-member council which would indefinitely extend the arms embargo on Tehran.
However, Russia and China, which both have the power to veto such a move, have already signalled their opposition.
Iranian missile sites
“From Israel to the Gulf, countries in the Middle East who are most exposed to Iran’s predations are speaking with one voice: Extend the arms embargo.”
US President Donald Trump’s administration has long argued the arms embargo on Iran should not be lifted.
The Qased could hit Berlin, theoretically
Since Mr Trump took office in 2017, his administration has quit the JPCOA and ramped up sanctions on Iran.
Washington has described the approach as one of “maximum-pressure”.
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